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RBC Asset Management News, Trends & Outlook

Investment Trends

Investing in Resources

Rising demand = positive outlook

What are "resources"?
It's a broad term often used to describe the energy and materials sectors. The resources sector constitutes one of the broadest and most diverse parts of the market and encompasses more than 30 sub-sectors including oil, gold, mining and forestry.
Resource stocks represent over 40% of the Canadian market - a key reason why we've been among the world's best-performing stock markets over the past 5 years.

Traditionally, investors have viewed resources as cyclical sectors driven by short-term supply and demand. Today, however, our outlook is that a period of escalating global demand and lagging supply (see chart below) - is making resources a sustainable opportunity for growth-oriented investors with a long-term outlook.

Where is the increasing demand for resources coming from?

In recent years, Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC countries) have been major consumers of resources to power their development. Record prices for commodities like oil, steel, aluminum and copper have been the result.

And demographics indicate that the demand for resources in these countries will only increase. At the end of 2005, the four BRIC countries accounted for more than 40% of the world's population. By 2050, it's estimated that their total GDP will exceed that of today's most industrialized nations.

In addition, the developing economies in the BRIC nations are driving increasing urbanization. This movement will require increased infrastructure - power stations, bridges, roads, etc. - increasing the demand for commodities like oil, aluminum and steel.

Why are supplies of resources lagging?

Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, commodity prices were caught in a severe bear market. Many companies did not invest in production - and when, in recent years, demand began to pick up, they were not prepared for it. Worse, resource projects typically require several years to come online. Two decades of under-investment in exploration and development simply cannot be rectified quickly.

The oil market gives us a vivid example:

Over the last 5 years, global demand has pushed oil prices up by 300% - but supply has not kept up. The fact that companies have not been able to capitalize on these higher prices by bringing more oil to market demonstrates the difficulties they face in replenishing their supplies.

Resources: A global opportunity

Canada's resource companies are among the world's best and most stable. This has made them attractive acquisitions for foreign players in recent years. But there are other strong resource companies around the world - so it's key for Canadian investors not to restrict their resource exposure to Canada.

How can you take advantage of growth opportunities within resources?

While resources are volatile - and cyclical, up-and-down movements will continue within the larger upward trend - they offer the potential for growth over the long term within a well-diversified portfolio.

RBC Asset Management is one of Canada's most recognized names when it comes to managing resource funds. Combined, our fund managers have more than 40 years of experience researching and analyzing the resources sector. Their diverse backgrounds and knowledge provide keen insights into emerging companies, plus early access to opportunities not yet discovered by the marketplace. For exposure to resource companies, consider the RBC Global Resources Fund, the RBC Global Energy Fund and the RBC Global Precious Metals Fund.

Talk to an advisor today about how resources can fit within your investment plan.


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Building a Better Portfolio
Investing can seem complex with changing market conditions, volumes of media information and expanding choice. By focusing on the investment basics, you can reach your long-term goals more successfully.

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12/14/2007 17:08:27